在2025年2月21日，美国商务部正式启动了对来自加拿大的某些软木木材产品的第七次反倾销税（AD）和补贴税（CVD）行政审查。
每年（除非案件得到解决），都会进行行政审查，以重新计算审查期内（2024年1月1日至2024年12月31日）的反倾销税和补贴税率，并为未来的发货建立新的现金存款税率。如果有利益相关方向商务部提交了对某公司的特定审查请求，则该公司将接受审查。
商务部表示，预计将在2026年1月31日之前发布这些审查的最终结果。
此次美国商务部的审查可能会增加加拿大木材对于海外市场的供应量， 同时推高美国木材的价格。随着关税审查的启动，未来软木木材的供应链风险可能增加，导致价格波动加剧。中国进口商在做出采购决策时，需要密切关注这些变化，以确保其供应的稳定性和成本控制。此外，了解即将到来的关税变动将有助于制定更有效的采购策略。
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Fannie Mae's latest economic outlook reveals that U.S. single-family home sales are expected to reach 4.92 million in 2025, and mortgage rates are expected to drop to 6.1%. GDP growth is forecast to be 0.7%. What does this report reveal about global lumber demand and prices? How should Chinese importers adjust their strategies? LumberFlow provides you with an in-depth analysis.
The annualized sales rate of new single-family homes in the United States in April 2025 reached 743,000 units, a surge of 10.9% from the previous month, indicating strong demand for domestic wood. LumberFlow experts pointed out that this move may lead to a tightening of the supply of US wood exports to China (potential reduction of 5-10% is expected), and the pressure of FOB price increases will be transmitted within 2-3 months. It is recommended that Chinese importers optimize their procurement portfolio, consider increasing supply from Canada, Europe and other places, and adopt strategic inventory management and forward contracts to lock in prices, while paying close attention to market intelligence to respond to changes.
The latest data from Statistics Canada shows that both the industrial product and raw material price indexes fell in April. Among them, the price of lumber and other wood products fell by 4.4% month-on-month, and the price of cork plummeted by 11.1%, the largest monthly drop since June 2022. Potential tariff risks have caused buyers to postpone purchases, creating downward pressure on prices.
North America has one of the most extensive and high-quality forest resources in the world. On this land, a number of world-class forest product companies were born. They have gradually developed from the initial logging camps into multinational giants with businesses all over the world. Their growth history is not only a magnificent business epic, but also a struggle history of constant game with natural resources, market changes, and technological innovation. As the opening of a series of articles, this article will focus on three industry leaders with a long history and far-reaching influence: Weyerhaeuser, West Fraser, and Canfor.
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