Southern pine lumber exports increased by 4.7% in February, Chinese importers need to pay attention to supply chain fluctuations

The export volume of southern pine in the United States in February increased by 4.7% month-on-month to 40.8 million board feet, but still decreased by 15% year-on-year. The sharp drop in the export of antiseptic materials by 8% has impacted the supply of the Caribbean market. Chinese importers can seize the current FOB price window period but need to guard against the risk of price rebound caused by the rebuilding of North American inventory in Q3.
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Southern pine lumber exports increased by 4.7% in February

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service’s Global Agricultural Trade System data,Southern Forest Products Association (SFPA)Supplementary analysis: Southern pine wood (including antiseptic and untreated wood) export volume in FebruaryMonth-on-month growth of 4.7%To 40.8 million board feet, but still down 15% from the same period last year.

LumberFlow Expert Interpretation

China-related impact:Although Mexico (US$8.4 million), the Dominican Republic (US$6.7 million) and Canada (US$3.3 million) were the main export markets, the total global export value reached a five-month high of US$16.5 million, indicating potential replenishment demand in the Asian market. Chinese importers should pay attention to:

  • Exports of anti-corrosion materials fell by 8% year-on-year to US$18.3 million, mainly to Jamaica (US$3 million) and the Leeward Islands (US$2.6 million) in the Caribbean, which may squeeze the allocation of anti-corrosion treatment capacity to the Chinese market.
  • The current downward trend in FOB prices (down 4% in the first two months) creates a short-term bargaining window for Chinese buyers, but they should be wary of a Q3 price rebound caused by North American inventory rebuilding.

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