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Potential impact of the expected adjustment of the US housing market on the global wood supply chain and strategic opportunities for Chinese importers

Fannie Mae's latest economic outlook reveals that U.S. single-family home sales are expected to reach 4.92 million in 2025, and mortgage rates are expected to drop to 6.1%. GDP growth is forecast to be 0.7%. What does this report reveal about global lumber demand and prices? How should Chinese importers adjust their strategies? LumberFlow provides you with an in-depth analysis.

Potential impact of the expected adjustment of the US housing market on the global wood supply chain and strategic opportunities for Chinese importers Read More »

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In-depth analysis: US new home sales surged by 10.9%, chain reaction on China's wood supply chain and price index outlook

The annualized sales rate of new single-family homes in the United States in April 2025 reached 743,000 units, a surge of 10.9% from the previous month, indicating strong demand for domestic wood. LumberFlow experts pointed out that this move may lead to a tightening of the supply of US wood exports to China (potential reduction of 5-10% is expected), and the pressure of FOB price increases will be transmitted within 2-3 months. It is recommended that Chinese importers optimize their procurement portfolio, consider increasing supply from Canada, Europe and other places, and adopt strategic inventory management and forward contracts to lock in prices, while paying close attention to market intelligence to respond to changes.

In-depth analysis: US new home sales surged by 10.9%, chain reaction on China's wood supply chain and price index outlook Read More »

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Canadian lumber price index plunges: in-depth analysis of April market dynamics and strategic implications for Chinese importers

The latest data from Statistics Canada shows that both the industrial product and raw material price indexes fell in April. Among them, the price of lumber and other wood products fell by 4.4% month-on-month, and the price of cork plummeted by 11.1%, the largest monthly drop since June 2022. Potential tariff risks have caused buyers to postpone purchases, creating downward pressure on prices.

Canadian lumber price index plunges: in-depth analysis of April market dynamics and strategic implications for Chinese importers Read More »

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FEA authoritative interpretation: Timetable for the implementation of new US tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and its impact on Chinese importers

The US tariff on Canadian softwood lumber may rise sharply from 14.4% to 34.5%. The final decision will be made in August but may take effect early on July 3. Chinese importers face the dual pressure of supply chain reconstruction and cost

FEA authoritative interpretation: Timetable for the implementation of new US tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and its impact on Chinese importers Read More »

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Oregon State Legislation Promotes New Timber Grading Certification Program, May Affect Chinese Importers' Purchasing Standards

Oregon has passed a new bill to establish a rapid timber grading certification system, allowing small sawmills to directly participate in the supply of housing building materials. Chinese importers need to pay attention to the quality control risks brought about by dual certification standards, and be particularly alert to changes in moisture content indicators of exported panels after Q3 2025.

Oregon State Legislation Promotes New Timber Grading Certification Program, May Affect Chinese Importers' Purchasing Standards Read More »

Canada's Tolko company announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in North Okanagan. Chinese importers need to pay attention to supply chain fluctuations

Canada's Tolko announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in British Columbia due to a shortage of fiber raw materials, which will affect China's high-end engineered wood product arrivals in June by 80,000 to 100,000 cubic meters.

Canada's Tolko company announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in North Okanagan. Chinese importers need to pay attention to supply chain fluctuations Read More »

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American Softwood Council Releases 2024 Annual Report: Revealing Timber Demand Growth and Strategic Investment Directions

The 2024 annual report of the American Softwood Council shows that 1.6 billion board feet of demand will be created throughout the year, affecting 1,498 construction projects. Experts point out that this will aggravate the tight supply of North American wood to China and suggest paying attention to alternatives to engineered wood products.

American Softwood Council Releases 2024 Annual Report: Revealing Timber Demand Growth and Strategic Investment Directions Read More »

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British Columbia announces new support policy for forestry manufacturers: Chinese importers need to pay attention to changes in high-end wood production capacity

British Columbia announced a forestry subsidy of 11 million Canadian dollars, focusing on supporting the expansion of engineered wood/heavy wood structure production capacity. Chinese importers need to pay attention to the price impact of the increase in the supply of Douglas fir structural materials from Q4 2025. The new route to Prince Rupert Port can shorten the logistics time in South China.

British Columbia announces new support policy for forestry manufacturers: Chinese importers need to pay attention to changes in high-end wood production capacity Read More »

The EU launches the first batch of countermeasures in response to US metal tariffs. Chinese timber importers need to be alert to fluctuations in the trade chain

The European Union announced that it will impose additional tariffs of 25% on U.S. lumber and other commodities in phases starting from April 2025. Chinese importers need to be wary of price fluctuations caused by U.S. suppliers reselling to Asia, and focus on changes in trans-Pacific freight rates for construction materials such as Douglas fir.

The EU launches the first batch of countermeasures in response to US metal tariffs. Chinese timber importers need to be alert to fluctuations in the trade chain Read More »

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