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Potential impact of the expected adjustment of the US housing market on the global wood supply chain and strategic opportunities for Chinese importers

Fannie Mae's latest economic outlook reveals that U.S. single-family home sales are expected to reach 4.92 million in 2025, and mortgage rates are expected to drop to 6.1%. GDP growth is forecast to be 0.7%. What does this report reveal about global lumber demand and prices? How should Chinese importers adjust their strategies? LumberFlow provides you with an in-depth analysis.

Potential impact of the expected adjustment of the US housing market on the global wood supply chain and strategic opportunities for Chinese importers Read More »

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In-depth analysis: US new home sales surged by 10.9%, chain reaction on China's wood supply chain and price index outlook

The annualized sales rate of new single-family homes in the United States in April 2025 reached 743,000 units, a surge of 10.9% from the previous month, indicating strong demand for domestic wood. LumberFlow experts pointed out that this move may lead to a tightening of the supply of US wood exports to China (potential reduction of 5-10% is expected), and the pressure of FOB price increases will be transmitted within 2-3 months. It is recommended that Chinese importers optimize their procurement portfolio, consider increasing supply from Canada, Europe and other places, and adopt strategic inventory management and forward contracts to lock in prices, while paying close attention to market intelligence to respond to changes.

In-depth analysis: US new home sales surged by 10.9%, chain reaction on China's wood supply chain and price index outlook Read More »

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Canadian lumber price index plunges: in-depth analysis of April market dynamics and strategic implications for Chinese importers

The latest data from Statistics Canada shows that both the industrial product and raw material price indexes fell in April. Among them, the price of lumber and other wood products fell by 4.4% month-on-month, and the price of cork plummeted by 11.1%, the largest monthly drop since June 2022. Potential tariff risks have caused buyers to postpone purchases, creating downward pressure on prices.

Canadian lumber price index plunges: in-depth analysis of April market dynamics and strategic implications for Chinese importers Read More »

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FEA authoritative interpretation: Timetable for the implementation of new US tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and its impact on Chinese importers

The US tariff on Canadian softwood lumber may rise sharply from 14.4% to 34.5%. The final decision will be made in August but may take effect early on July 3. Chinese importers face the dual pressure of supply chain reconstruction and cost

FEA authoritative interpretation: Timetable for the implementation of new US tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and its impact on Chinese importers Read More »

Canada's Tolko company announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in North Okanagan. Chinese importers need to pay attention to supply chain fluctuations

Canada's Tolko announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in British Columbia due to a shortage of fiber raw materials, which will affect China's high-end engineered wood product arrivals in June by 80,000 to 100,000 cubic meters.

Canada's Tolko company announced the temporary suspension of production at two lumber mills in North Okanagan. Chinese importers need to pay attention to supply chain fluctuations Read More »

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Canada's March industrial products and raw materials price index released: softwood lumber prices soared 6.4% in a single month, and China's import cost pressure increased sharply

Canadian lumber prices rebounded strongly in March, with softwood prices soaring 6.4% in a single month, a five-month high. Chinese importers are facing price transmission pressure in the second quarter and need to be wary of supply chain fluctuations caused by the US-Canada tariff dispute. Experts recommend giving priority to CNF terms and paying attention to alternative sources of goods from Russia.

Canada's March industrial products and raw materials price index released: softwood lumber prices soared 6.4% in a single month, and China's import cost pressure increased sharply Read More »

Canada West Fraser's Williams Lake sawmill implements a four-day work week, and China's timber import supply chain may be affected

West Fraser of Canada temporarily reduced the production capacity of 20% of sawmills in BC due to log supply problems, which may affect the arrival of SPF timber from China in June. Experts suggest paying attention to alternative sources of goods from Russia and logistics solutions for the Port of Vancouver, and the 2×6 specification may become a buffer option.

Canada West Fraser's Williams Lake sawmill implements a four-day work week, and China's timber import supply chain may be affected Read More »

Sumitomo Forestry America acquires Teal Jones Louisiana sawmill, strengthening North American lumber supply chain

Sumitomo Forestry's acquisition of a key sawmill in the southern United States will directly affect China's SPF and southern yellow pine import supply chain. After the transaction is completed, the price and logistics arrangements of timber exports to China may be adjusted starting from Q2 2025.

Sumitomo Forestry America acquires Teal Jones Louisiana sawmill, strengthening North American lumber supply chain Read More »

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