The U.S. Department of Commerce has launched the seventh tariff review of Canadian softwood lumber products, increasing market supply chain risks

The U.S. Department of Commerce has launched the seventh tariff review on Canadian softwood lumber products, which is expected to affect future lumber supply stability and price fluctuations. Chinese importers need to pay attention to this dynamic to better understand their purchasing decisions.

U.S. Department of Commerce launches seventh softwood lumber tariff review

On February 21, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce officially launched the seventh administrative review of antidumping duties (AD) and CVDs on certain softwood lumber products from Canada.

Background

Each year (unless the case is resolved), an administrative review is conducted to recalculate the antidumping and subsidy rates for the review period (January 1, 2024 to December 31, 2024) and to establish new cash deposit rates for future shipments. If an interested party submits a request for a specific review of a company to the Ministry of Commerce, the company will be reviewed.

Future Outlook

The Commerce Department said it expects to publish final results of those reviews by January 31, 2026.

LumberFlow Expert Interpretation

The review by the U.S. Department of Commerce may increase the supply of Canadian lumber to overseas markets and push up the price of American lumber. With the launch of the tariff review, the supply chain risk of softwood lumber may increase in the future, leading to greater price volatility. Chinese importers need to pay close attention to these changes when making purchasing decisions to ensure the stability of their supply and cost control. In addition, understanding the upcoming tariff changes will help develop more effective purchasing strategies.

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